Tuesday, November 1, 2016

Long airplane rides and Norm Ornstein


Jim recommended that I try out the “After Trump, the Deluge” episode of Primary Concerns by New Republic. I was not disappointed. The podcast is a conversation with Norm Ornstein, resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute and co-author of It’s Even Worse Than It Looks, which focuses on the dysfunction in Congress. Ornstein argues that although both parties are responsible for the current state of affairs, the Republican Party’s shift to the right is far more extreme than its counterparts on the left. This polarization has resulted in a “demise of the regular order” beginning in the Dennis Hastert years of Congress.

The stalemate solidified during Obama’s presidency with Mitch McConnell’s statement of his party’s goals for that session: make Obama a one term president. Often this came at the expense of the American people. Ornstein points to the increased use of the filibuster (or threat thereof) to thwart legislation supported by a majority of members, the use of the debt ceiling as legislative brinkmanship, and the unprecedented hold up of nominations, including filling the current vacancy on the Supreme Court.

The media reaction to this book can be understood in light of the hysteria-inducing narrative about media bias. Ornstein said that his book was not covered because reporters and producers felt it was too biased by placing blame on Republicans. He criticized the media saying that they “report both sides as if they are equal” even if they are not. In his canon, the interpretation and provision of context are vital functions of reporters and are often sacrificed in favor of “unbiased reporting.” This has enabled Republicans to get away with their unprecedented agenda of obstruction unscathed.

 “Politics isn’t supposed to look good,” Ornstein states and I agree. Much of the nitty gritty involved in passing a bill relies on simple quid pro quo. You co-sponsor my bill and I’ll co-sponsor yours; you support my amendment and I’ll make sure my colleagues line up behind yours. Much of what makes people uncomfortable about Clinton’s leaked emails has to do with what they revealed about strategy, decision making and compromise in government. Governing is not a zero sum game. The founders set up a bicameral legislature to force compromise; at one time in our history working with colleagues across the aisle was seen as productive and beneficial (!!)

Unfortunately, things don’t look like they will improve regardless of who wins the presidency. If Hillary Clinton is elected, Republicans will use claims of election rigging and cozy relationships with the media to fuel resentment among their supporters. I wouldn’t be surprised if the current strategy of opposing the President at any cost continues. If Donald Trump is elected, Democrats will use “moral authority” to oppose nearly everything that Trump proposes. The bitterness of this election will eliminate any ability – or desire – for legislators to compromise or work together. And the Presidential candidates are not taking a conciliatory tone.

Frankly, I don’t see incentives changing to make unity happen. If Trump is sowing the seeds for a media network that fuels rage or another political run, there is no reason for him to “sell out.” The depth of Clinton’s disgust for Trump (exemplified by no hand shaking at the final debates) will prevent her from offering advice and expertise.

I’m worried about where we go from here – and I’m not the only one.  Normal unifying forces seem to be absent: politics is more polarized than ever, citizens selectively consume media that confirms their biases and elected officials are rewarded for blocking rather than passing legislation. This isn’t good for a functional government.

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